I usually shy away from Oscar predictions because I’m usually pretty terrible at it, but then again, so is everyone else. No offense. The 4th and 5th nominees in each category are where it goes bad for everyone, so in that spirit, there are some left field predictions here.
PICTURE
- Everything Everywhere All at Once
- The Banshees of Inisherin
- Tár
- The Fabelmans
- Top Gun: Maverick
- Elvis
- Avatar: The Way of Water
- Babylon
- The Whale
- All Quiet on the Western Front
DIRECTOR
- Daniels, Everything Everywhere All at Once
- Todd Field, Tár
- Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans
- Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin
- Edward Berger, All Quiet on the Western Front
LEAD ACTOR
- Brendan Fraser, The Whale
- Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
- Austin Butler, Elvis
- Bill Nighy, Living
- Jeremy Pope, The Inspection
LEAD ACTRESS
- Cate Blanchett, Tár
- Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once
- Danielle Deadwyler, Till
- Viola Davis, The Woman King
- Emma Thompson, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande
SUPPORTING ACTOR
- Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once
- Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
- Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
- Eddie Redmayne, The Good Nurse
- Brian Tyree Henry, Causeway
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
- Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
- Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
- Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once
- Hong Chau, The Whale
- Stephanie Hsu, Everything Everywhere All at Once
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
- Daniels, Everything Everywhere All at Once
- Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin
- Todd Field, Tár
- Steven Spielberg and Tony Kushner, The Fabelmans
- Charlotte Wells, Aftersun
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
- Sarah Polley, Women Talking
- Rebecca Lenkiewicz, She Said
- Kazuo Ishiguro, Living
- Samuel D. Hunter, The Whale
- Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson, and Ian Stokell, All Quiet on the Western Front
ANIMATED FEATURE
- Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
- Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
- Turning Red
- Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
- Wendell & Wild
INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
- RRR (just kidding)
- All Quiet on the Western Front
- Decision to Leave
- EO
- Close
- Argentina, 1985
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
- All That Breathes
- All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
- Fire of Love
- Moonage Daydream
- Descendant
CINEMATOGRAPHY
- Claudio Miranda, Top Gun: Maverick
- Greig Fraser, The Batman
- Mandy Walker, Elvis
- Roger Deakins, Empire of Light
- James Friend, All Quiet on the Western Front
EDITING
- Eddie Hamilton, Top Gun: Maverick
- Paul Rogers, Everything Everywhere All at Once
- Mikkel E.G. Nielsen, The Banshees of Inisherin
- Jonathan Redmond and Matt Villa, Elvis
- Monika Willi, Tár
PRODUCTION DESIGN
- Florencia Martin, Babylon
- Catherine Martin and Karen Murphy, Elvis
- Jason Kisvarday, Everything Everywhere All at Once
- Rick Heinrichs, Glass Onion
- Rick Carter, The Fabelmans
COSTUME DESIGN
- Mary Zophres, Babylon
- Ruth E. Carter, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
- Gersha Phillips, The Woman King
- Jenny Beavan, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
- Shirley Kurata, Everything Everywhere All at Once
MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
- The Whale
- The Batman
- Elvis
- Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
- Amsterdam
ORIGINAL SCORE
- Justin Hurwitz, Babylon
- Alexandre Desplat, Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
- Carter Burwell, The Banshees of Inisherin
- John Williams, The Fabelmans
- Hildur Guðnadóttir, Women Talking
ORIGINAL SONG
- “Lift Me Up” from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
- “Naatu Naatu” from RRR
- “Stand Up” from Till
- “Good Afternoon” from Spirited
- “Applause” from Tell It like a Woman
SOUND
- Top Gun: Maverick
- The Batman
- Elvis
- All Quiet on the Western Front
- Avatar: The Way of Water
VISUAL EFFECTS
- Avatar: The Way of Water
- The Batman
- Top Gun: Maverick
- Jurassic World: Dominion
- Thirteen Lives